Fixed vs Floating

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It may seem like groundhog again in the world of interest rates, but Brendon spells out the subtle changes that may influence your fix or float decision.

 

This month’s ANZ market commentary have pointed out that average mortgage rates have nudged a little lower in what we call the belly (two- to three-year rates) of the curve, but retained the familiar tick-shape.

 

So, from a pure “lowest is best” assessment, the one-year rate stands out. Slight movements lower in the two- and three-year rates have improved their breakeven points but not sufficiently for us to move from favouring the one-year rate as the sweet spot.

 

Longer-term rates remain very low by historic standards and offer certainty. The downside is that we struggle to see where inflation is going to come from to necessitate major lifts in the OCR.

 

To summarise all this, rates have dropped a little this month. So, if you want the cheapest rate take the one-year rate. If you want certainty, longer rates are historically still cheap. And ANZ don't see interest rates moving too much in the near future.

 

Whether you should fix or float is still a case-by-case issue. So, we don't believe it’s possible to say to all our clients as a whole, "You should do X." Many of our clients want to pay their loan off quickly, so will put a small amount on some sort of floating rate (be that revolving credit, offset or standard floating) and then fix the majority for some certainty. Others need more certainty than that.

 

As always a conversation with your friendly Velocity adviser can quickly work out a really good strategy designed with you in mind.

 

Brendon Ojala is a Registered Financial Adviser with Velocity Financial. No investment decision should be taken based on the information in this blog alone. A disclosure statement is available free of charge upon request.

 

AJ's African Adventure

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What did your 13th birthday party look like? For Brendon’s son, AJ, it’s definitely going to be one to remember.

 

Brendon's son Anaiwan (AJ) has just turned 13 and it is the Ojala family tradition to have a "rite of passage" adventure to mark the occasion. So, in December, Brendon and Anaiwan are travelling to Africa for a couple of challenges.

 

The first is to climb Mt Kilimanjaro.

 

Standing at a height of 5895 metres, the father and son duo expect to knock off the beast in eight days. Apparently, it’s not a technical climb, more of a trek, the major challenge being the lack of oxygen when you’re 6km in the sky. So a slow walk up the mountain will maximise their chances of success.

 

The second challenge is to build a classroom.

 

After recovering for altitude sickness and allowing sometime for Brendon to catch up to his son, they are then visiting a children’s home for a week where they will hang out with the kids and staff and help in any way they can.

 

Anaiwan has been tasked with taking a gift with him, so is fundraising to help build a classroom at the orphanage. This classroom is needed to run school lessons but also because government regulations require it to keep the orphanage open. AJ’s goal is to come up with $5000 towards the total build cost of $15,000.

 

Over Labour Weekend, AJ is fundraising by getting people to sponsor him to climb 6000 metres over eight days. He starts on Sunday 14 October, so if you’d like to contribute to help get this classroom built, head on over his Givealittle page: AJ's African Adventure (all funds go to the children's home). 

 

You can follow AJ and Brendon’s adventure on their Facebook page: AJ's African Adventure. And stay tuned for a report early in the New Year.

 

Remember the days of the old school yard

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The property market is much like the school yard; it’s full of bullies, rules, rule enforcers, and of course opportunities for growth and the people to help you grow.

 

My daughter turned five a couple of weeks ago. Awesome, she is now off to school! But what came next I was not prepared for: immense sadness.

 

It was sadness that my baby had taken her first step to independence, pain and concern in being responsible for making her go to a place where she knows absolutely nobody, and the fact that for the next 13 years she will have to raise her hand if she wishes to go to the bathroom.

 

Why did nobody warn me? And where was my fathers-of-five-year-old-girls support group?

 

When I started school I can vividly remember loving it from day one (well, truth is, I cried day one … a lot, but day two onwards was great!). I didn’t occur to me at the time that my parents, also, might have the same sort of concern that I’ve had these past weeks.

 

Anyway, all this reflecting on the virtues and risks of school, got me thinking that the lessons from the school yard transfer well into the property world. So, here are my three top school yard lessons for the home-buyer:

 

#1 - The more you learn, the better things go

If you pay attention in class and do your homework, much of your school experience runs fairly smoothly. It’s the same when looking to purchase property.

 

Those who go in most educated, learn the importance (or lack of importance) that RVs play in your decision-making process, know what to do when something you wish to buy has unconsented work on it, or know who you should consult to make sure your offer actually legally protects you, will come away with a higher chance of success and less chance of falling in to traps.

 

#2 – Find your BFFs

Today (my daughter’s eleventh of school), when dropping my daughter off, three children came up to her and said, “Can we play with you?” Then all four of them ran off and I left watching them running around laughing. I felt comforted in knowing she has a network of support.

 

The idea of purchasing sounds like fun. However, once we’re in the thick of it all, signing on the dotted line and trawling through confusing legalese, there is nothing more comforting knowing that you have team around you, who all place your best interests first. Your Velocity Financial adviser is a key member of that support team. We will keep you informed, we’ll do much of the donkey work for you, and you can contact us and ask your questions, absolutely any question! Let us support you.  

 

#3 - Avoid the headmaster’s office!

If you are in the dreaded headmasters office, things are not going well with your school experience. We can all identify (or have several first-hand experiences!) with this threat of going to see the person at the top, who will tell you off in such a way that makes you wish you still had the comfort of “pull ups” for back up when the fear kicks in.

 

Unfortunately, in the finance world, we have seen people who have found themselves in a world of trouble. Sometimes this is through association, debt from previous partners (“hanging out with the wrong crowd”), or have simply not understood the true ramifications of the decisions they have made (such as tax implications upon sale of a property). Our role in these situations is to sit with you, unpack your situation and help you navigate your way out. We’ll help you understand what will keep you away from walking down that lonely hallway to the naughty chair.

 

Lance Shearman is a Registered Financial Adviser with Velocity Financial. No investment decision should be taken based on the information in this blog alone. A disclosure statement is available free of charge upon request.